Tinubu’s Calculated Consensus: Why APC’s Expanding Control Signals Strategic Leadership, Not Hegemony
The growing control of the All Progressives Congress (APC) across Nigeria’s political map is not an accident of power or a fluke of circumstance. With the party now governing about 30 out of 36 states—and indications that the number could rise—critics are quick to cry “hegemony.” Supporters, however, see something far more instructive: the unmistakable imprint of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s strategic leadership.
President Tinubu is not merely winning elections or welcoming defections; he is redefining how political power is built and sustained in a complex, plural democracy like Nigeria’s. What is unfolding is a deliberate process of coalition-building rooted in negotiation, inclusion, and political realism. In a system long fractured by regionalism, personality clashes, and weak party structures, Tinubu’s approach prioritizes alignment over antagonism and consensus over chaos.
This moment did not arrive by chance. Tinubu’s political career—from his days as a pro-democracy activist to his tenure as Lagos State governor—has been defined by patience, long-term planning, and an uncanny ability to identify and nurture political talent. The current wave of defections and realignments reflects confidence in his leadership and belief in the APC’s capacity to provide stability at both state and federal levels.
Far from undermining democracy, this consolidation could strengthen governance. A broad-based ruling coalition reduces the constant friction between the centre and the states, enables smoother policy coordination, and creates room for reforms that Nigeria has postponed for decades. Political stability, when paired with accountability, is not a threat—it is an asset.
President Tinubu’s critics often underestimate the discipline and intelligence behind his moves, dismissing them as raw power plays. But power without strategy rarely lasts. What we are witnessing is “politics with a blueprint”: smart alliances, surgical defections, and a clear understanding of timing and leverage. This is statecraft, not coincidence.
Nigeria stands at a crossroads where leadership must be bold enough to unify disparate interests while pursuing difficult reforms. Tinubu’s expanding political tent suggests he understands this reality better than most. The kitchen is indeed busy—and if the early signs are anything to go by, the nation may soon benefit from a carefully prepared political meal.
Call it dominance if you like. Others will call it leadership.
Jagaban knows exactly what he’s doing.
